The NFL’s sixth week begins with a Thursday Night Football between a depleted Giants team and the undefeated Patriots — it’s time again to take a look at the best Monkey Knife Fight Props for Giants vs Patriots.
Year to date, my Monkey Knife Fight Prop plays are white hot at 15-6, including another perfect 2-0 card on Monday Night Football while my article leans are 6-4.
And be sure to check out the rest our the rest of our prop plays and leans for Thursday night here.
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Giants Patriots Monkey Knife Fight Props
Here’s how to find the different game options at MKF — if you look under the giant football, you’ll see an option to filter the available games. Clicking that allows you to filter results off of ‘Featured’ and onto the type you like, or to ‘All’ which will unlock every prop available for your selected game.
Tonight, I’m going to dissect the QBs from each team and find a prop for each.
Tonight’s Picks
- Tom Brady Under 302.5 passing yards [Game type: Over / Under]
- Daniel Jones (+101.5) > Tom Brady, passing yards [Game type: Rapidfire]
This prop below can be found easily, as it is the first one under featured that should pop up for you automatically. You can also find it on most/all of the over/unders.
The Pick
Tom Brady Under 302.5 passing yards
Tom Brady’s prop is set at 276.5 elsewhere. Weather will factor into this one — winds around 16mph are expected, with potential gusts of 40mph, which historically correlates lower game totals and lower passing totals.
The total dropped from 46.5 at open down around 41, before bouncing back to 42.5 currently. Brady is projected between 264 and 284 yards by Fantasy Labs and 4for4. As 17-point favorites, the Pats are unlikely to need Brady to throw much in this one.
Daniel Jones vs Tom Brady
This next prop is one of the common options in the Rapidfire sections. Available under the first 3/3 as well as this 2/2 shown here.
The Pick
Daniel Jones +101.5 > Tom Brady, Passing Yards
The high Brady prop is leaking over into this H2H matchup too.
Daniel Jones is projected for 199-201 passing yards. MKF has their prop for Jones right on, but with their prop for Brady being too high, this has some value.
Going by the projections, this line should probably be around 65-85 yards rather than 101.5. Although the Patriots have not allowed a TD pass, all we need is yards here. With the Giants projected to be playing from behind all game, and missing RBs Saquon Barkley and Wayne Gallman due to injury, they will likely need to throw. Jones could throw 5 INTs and 0 TDs and we could still get there on this prop.
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Picks Recap
- Tom Brady Under 302.5 passing yards [Game type: Over / Under]
- Daniel Jones (+101.5) > Tom Brady, passing yards [Game type: Rapidfire]
Bonus Leans:
I won’t list any specific leans for this one, but every single prop I saw was a bit too high. With projections being low and the expected win pointing towards a low-scoring affair, I lean under on everything except for the Jones under 201.5 passing yards, which is dead on with projections.
