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Best NBA Prop Plays for Thursday (2/20): Devonte’ Graham, More

The NBA returns after one of the best All-Star Weekends we've ever witnessed, and we're back with more NBA prop plays for the stretch run.

The second half of the season begins with a six-game slate and two TNT matchups.

We'll take a look at three players believed to have an edge and favorable matchup in tonight's action. The three underrated assets we'll look at tonight are Devonte' Graham, Jonas Valananciunas, and Robert Covington.

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Let's jump in.

Best NBA Prop Plays for Thursday (2/20)

Hornets Guard Devonte’ Graham 

Over 27.5 PRA (-114)

Note: I bet this line when it opened at 26.5 at FanDuel, but I am fine with it at 27.5 and would pay up to -130 at this number. 

Graham has put together quite the first half, averaging 18.1 points, 7.8 assists (seventh), and 3.6 rebounds per game for a PRA average of 30.

He had a busy weekend in the NBA Rising Stars Challenge and Three-Point Contest, and next up is a date with the Bulls, against whom he surpassed 26.5 in points + assists alone in their first two meetings. In his last game versus the Bulls, Graham recorded 16 points, 7 assists, and 5 rebounds in Chicago (28 PRA). 

Off three days of rest or more, he’s put up impressive numbers in his breakout season.

  • In six games off three days or more of rest, he’s averaged 17.2 points, 8.5 assists, and 4.3 rebounds in 35.2 minutes
  • Against Chicago, he’s averaged 34.3 minutes and recorded 19 points, 8.3 assists, and 3.3 rebounds for a 30.6 PRA average
  • He's 3-for-3 in eclipsing this total in every game against the Bulls

Oddly enough, Chicago is ranked second against point guards in points per game (20.37) and fourth in made three-pointers per game (2.31), but that hasn’t slowed Graham down all season.

Two of the three meetings have hit been high-scoring between these teams with 231 and 251 points scored between them. Projections peg Graham hitting the over tonight for the fourth and final time versus Chicago, and another high-scoring game would certainly benefit. 

Grizzlies Center Jonas Valanciunas

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