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Maryland NCAA Basketball Betting: Julian Reese Player Prop Analysis


In this NCAA basketball player prop analysis, we delve into the performance of Julian Reese from the Maryland Terrapins. Reese has been a dominant force this season, but we’ll explore why fading him in this particular matchup makes sense.

Player Prop

  • Bet: Julian Reese (Maryland) under 8.5 rebounds
  • Odds: -105 (Draftkings, MGM)
  • Recommended Max Odds: Good to -115 (Caesers)

Reasons to Consider the Under

Home vs. Away Splits:

    • Reese’s rebounding varies significantly this season based on playing at home or on the road
    • At home, he averages an impressive 11.1 rebounds per game.
    • On the road, as he is in this game, his average drops to 7.3 rebounds.

Tough Matchup with Wisconsin:

    • Wisconsin is a top-10 team in rebounding, both defensively and offensively.
    • When Reese faced them earlier this season, he managed only 7 rebounds in 36 minutes.

Foul Trouble Risk:

    • Reese is no stranger to limited minutes due to to foul trouble.
    • Wisconsin excels at drawing fouls (top 20 in the country).

Minor Ankle Injury:

    • Reese recently dealt with a minor ankle injury.
    • He was held out of the Penn State game last weekend.

Minutes Management:

    • Reese played 28 minutes last game, significantly below his usual 36 minutes.
    • Back-to-back games could further reduce his playing time.


While Julian Reese has been outstanding this season, the combination of road splits, a tough matchup, foul risk, injury concerns, and potential minutes management makes the under 8.5 rebounds an intriguing bet.

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