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John Deere Classic Best Bets: Sungjae Im vs Lucas Glover

We’re back at it this week as with some John Deere Classic best bets as the tour heads to Illinois.

TPC Deere Run is a Par 71 that plays right at 7,100 yards. We have a bunch of really tight head to heads on the board, but there’s some value on Sungjae Im (+100) at plus odds vs. Lucas Glover (-120). 

We’re coming off an easy win last week as everything went according to plan in the Hidecki Matsuyama v Jason Day, and overall our article H2Hs have been on a solid roll in recent weeks.

Sungjae Im >Lucas Glover (+100)

Recent Form & Course History

Overall, Im has gone through some hot and cold streaks over the course of the season. He is in the middle of a heater right now, though, stringing together five-straight cuts including finishes inside of the Top 21.

In each of his past four starts, Im has had at least three rounds in the 60s. He’s a great upside play this week if he can continue to string birdies together like that. The South Korean has no history here —  it’s his first time playing the event.

Glover is coming off of a seventh-place finish in a similarly weak field last week, but he hasn’t been terribly sharp. That was his first made cut in his past three starts.

He did hit a fair amount of greens, but it was his putter that was most impressive last week. Glover gained 6.1 strokes — the best putting performance in our database.

He has had mixed results at TPC Deere Run making just 2-of-6 cuts. 

Model Results

Im’s raw score from the model this week puts him in the -1.5 to -1 group. Historically, that group has hit the Top 10 just under 20% of the time and Top 20 around 35% of the time.

Glover falls in the -1 to -0.5 group, though. That group has finished in the Top 10 and Top 20, 13% and 25% of the time respectively. 

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