Every primetime game this season has been a thriller. This meeting between the 6-2 Tennesee Titans and the 7-1 Los Angeles Rams seems, on paper, looks like another.
However, with Derrick Henry sidelined and Tennessee’s horrendous defense, the Rams are more than a touchdown favorite on Sunday Night.
But those two things open up some interesting player prop opportunities. As such, our team has identified two SNF props for Titans Rams that provide value.
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AJ Brown Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
With Henry out, AJ Brown becomes the most deadly weapon on the Tennessee offense.
Although he started slow, Brown has picked up steam over the past few games., accumulating 36%, 33%, and 34% of the Titans target market share and at least 90 receiving yards in all three matchups.
AJ Brown receiving yards per game this season. Image credit: Props.cash
Plus, Sunday night is a great situation for Brown.
The Rams’ offense is deadly, and the Titans’ defense is awful. The Rams lead the league in passing EPA per play, while the Titans rank 20th in Football Outsiders’ Defensive DVOA and 19th in EPA per play allowed.
This game sets up as a high-scoring, shootout. Brown is sure to get a lot of opportunities. With Henry out, riding Brown hard is clearly their best opportunity to hang with the Rams.
He can help keep the Titans in this game. While the Rams have a pretty solid defense, led by one of the best cornerbacks in Jalen Ramsey, they rank just 25th in Pass Defense DVOA vs. #1 WRs.
Ramsey is likely to play a part in defending Brown but probably won’t shado him all game. If that’s the case, Brown will rack up yards in this high-powered situation.
Projections have Brown in the 85 receiving yard range, and our team believes this is our best prop play for SNF.
Darrell Henderson Under 17.5 Rush Attempts
We expect this to be a high-powered offensive showcase, with players from both sides filling up the box score. However, the Rams like to attack through the air, with a steady Matt Stafford to Cooper Kupp combination, and this line is simply too high as a result.
In fact, Henderson has hit this line in just one of his seven games this season.
Darrell Henderson rush attempts per game this season. Image credit: Props.cash
Moreover, the Titans have allowed just one of the last four running backs they’ve faced to go over their rush attempts. And at just 100.8 rush yards per game allowed, the Titans rank eighth in the NFL in rush defense.
Projections have Henderson at about 16 rush attempts on Sunday Night, and our research agrees wholeheartedly with those projections