Sunday Night Football features a fascinating affair between the Bears and the Vikings, teams that respectively rank fourth- and fifth-best in the league in yards allowed to opponents.
Both can stop the run and the pass, and yet they each feature fully-functional offenses, with the Bears averaging 29.9 points per game (fifth best), while the Vikings score 24.6, 15th best in the league.
It all adds up to a tricky game to handicap, especially with star RB Dalvin Cook rounding back to full health..
Before we jump into that, here are our records on the year, and be sure to check out some top Week 11 Head to Head props at Bet the Prop.
- Article picks : 28-14 (64%)
- Bet the Prop Overall Record: 204-157 (57%)
Vikings QB Kirk Cousins
Under 285.5 Passing Yards (+105 @ 5 Dimes)
This yardage line is not only lower at Betonline (280.5 yards), but the odds are considerably worse as well (-114).
That makes this 5 Dimes line with a better number at a plus price look like a screaming value.
The Bears haven’t allowed a single passer to hit 280 yards at home this season, with Tom Brady’s 277 yards in Week 7 setting the high-water mark.
They’ve held every other road QB, including Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson, and a combination of Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston, to 274 yards or less. In total, opposing QBs average 200.2 passing yards at Soldier Field.
Betting the under on passing yards versus Chicago this year – regardless of location – would have netted you a 5-2 record.
As for Cousins, he’s passed for 241 yards or fewer in three of his last four games, with the only over coming against the Saints, who give up the second-most passing yards in the league.
Sean Koerner projects Cousins at 279 yards, placing him in the value category. I’m surprised to be getting plus odds here, and I’d still play this prop down the regular take of -115.
Check out more of our picks via the The Action Network.