Welcome to a look at one of our best NBA props for tonight, as we break down the Points+Rebounds+Assists (PRA) prop for Utah’s Jordon Clarkson.
It’s an interesting matchup statistically and stylistically, so let’s jump into the play and why we like it tonight.
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Jordan Clarkson (UTA) Under 28.5 PRA (-120 DK)
- Tough matchup here for Clarkson against a Cleveland team that has been brutal against guards
- Cavs have conceded on average 28.6 PRA/gm to SGs this season, which is by far the fewest in the league and nearly three less per game than second–place Clippers (31.5 PRA/gm)
- Stylistically speaking, they’re one of the toughest matchups too, given they are elite defensively in his favorite scoring spots on the floor
- For a guard, Clarkson tends to like scoring heavily in the paint (48.6% of his total) and Cleveland with the combo twin towers in Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, are one of the best teams at protecting the rim — conceding the third-fewest paint points in the NBA
- He severely lacks a midrange and also takes fewer than one attempt from the corner per game (0.9 attempts)
- That leaves the above the break threes which account for 39.9% of his points; however, Cleveland are also elite here, allowing the fourth-fewest makes in the league (and also #1 fewest v SGs)
- Given his dominant areas (that account for ~90% of his points) are areas in which CLE excel in, think he will really need to play above himself to cover this
- However historically, has failed to do so more often than not, under in 5/6 games v CLE since joining the Jazz: 25, 26, 9, 16, 33 & 15 PRA, respectively
