- NBA opening night props are here and Paul George is the marquee play — I’ll tell you how to bet his total of Over/Under 21.5 Points
- He and the LA Clippers open their season versus the rival Lakers — tip-off at 10:00 PM ET
- The Lakers are 3-point favorites in a game with a 220-point total
Tip-off is here, and we’re excited to bring you some NBA opening night props, starting with this play on Paul George. He was a hot topic in the postseason during the bubble with his lack of scoring, but after the Clippers made a few moves, he’s primed for another fantastic year.
Let’s take a look at why George’s total is a little low on opening night.
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Clippers Forward Paul George
Over 21.5 Points (-106 @ DraftKings)
George scored 18, 30, and 31 points in three games vs the Lakers last season, hitting the over in two out of three. In the previous two meetings, he topped 30 in both and went 20/33 (60.60%) from the field and 9/18 from three-point land (50%), finishing the 2019-20 season with 26.0 PPG against the Lakers.
He’s gone over this total in his last three season openers, and with extra motivation and it being a rivalry game, why not make it four in a row for George?
In his first season in LA, George:
- Attempted and made the second-most three-pointers in his career
- Make it five-straight seasons averaging 20 PPG
- He finished the semis with 21.7 PPG, earning criticism for his uneven performances
George scored 20 or more points in 29 of 44 games (65.9%) last season and played much better at home, recording 22.9 PPG than 20.4 on the road. Opening night will be an away game for the Clippers, but playing versus the Lakers in the Staples Center allows it to be more of a neutral court contest, particularly without any fans.
George’s scoring production dipped from 28.5 with the Oklahoma City Thunder to 21.5 with the Clippers, but he only played 44 games compared to 77 the year prior with load management.
We don’t know whether George will play back-to-backs this season, but he’s likely to be a full-go tonight and looking to crash the Lakers party as they hold their championship ring ceremony.
I’m expecting George to come out with a fire and on national TV, and based on his last four regular-season openers, PG13 is in an excellent position to surpass 22 points.