The Texans and Saints open up the Monday Night doubleheader in New Orleans, and we’re taking a look at the best Monkey Knife Fight props.
The games at MKF are a different twist on props. They’ve added tons of options since last season, including over/under on fantasy points. I’ll be breaking down spots that offer value throughout the regular season and playoffs.
Also be sure to check back here, as we’ll be updating this piece with any changes and new plays ahead of TNF kickoff.
You can check out the rest of our best MNF props here:
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Texans vs Saints Monkey Knife Fight Props
Monkey Knife Fight continues to add more offerings. Once you choose a game, if you scroll all the way to the right you should see a button that says “Show More Contests”. Clicking that will unlock every prop available for your selected game.
For this breakdown, I wanted to take a broader view.
I chose one of the right-most cards to see where MKF Fantasy Points category differs from projections. I clicked the Alvin Kamara under, Deshaun Watson under, and Michael Thomas over in order to highlight the largest discrepancies.
Projections:
- Kamara 19.8 – (3.7 points difference)
- Watson 21.4 – (2.1)
- Thomas 21.2 – (1.6)
In spite of these projections, I would be worried about taking the under in what is projected to be a shootout. The total is hovering around 52, and both offenses are explosive. Watson is rated as the top QB, even above Mahomes, by many fantasy experts.
I do think the Kamara under makes sense because he has tended to split carries throughout his career. Latavius Murray is projected for 13 carries and figures to steal valuable red-zone touches. As for Thomas, I actually would lean towards a no-play in spite of the value. The saints went more run-heavy towards the end of last season, and Thomas only caught two TDs in his last eight games.
Another lean I have that doesn’t show value in the projections is Duke Johnson under. It is his first game with the Texans and unders hit over 60% on road RBs rushing + receiving yards. The Saints had an 84.9 PFF grade against the run last year.
