Rematch Analysis: Hunter Greene vs. Slade Cecconi
Tonight’s CIN vs ARI game features a rematch between pitchers Hunter Greene and Slade Cecconi, just five days after their last meeting on May 9th. These quick rematches typically favor the offense, as batters gain recent familiarity with the pitcher, potentially reducing strikeouts in the matchup.
Hunter Greene is known for his power pitching and strikeout prowess. However, he managed only 6 strikeouts in 5 innings in the last encounter. His fastball velocity was down, forcing him to rely more on secondary pitches for strikeouts. The Reds’ bullpen is also depleted after a tough extra-inning loss last night, putting pressure on Greene to pitch deeper into the game.
Slade Cecconi, a relatively young pitcher, has limited experience. In previous games where he started or pitched over 50 pitches, he averaged just under 5 innings and 3.8 strikeouts. In the recent matchup against the Reds, Cecconi recorded only 2 strikeouts in 5.1 innings.
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The Reds’ offense has struggled with strikeouts this season, ranking 27th overall in strikeout percentage (25.6%). However, recent lineup adjustments have led to slight improvement with the team’s strikeout rate nearing the league average in the last 14 days.
On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have excelled in limiting strikeouts, particularly at home, where they boast a strikeout percentage of 17.6%. However, their bullpen has struggled overall, ranking 29th in strikeout rate in the last 14 days.
Umpire Stu Scheurwater, known for favoring hitters, officiates tonight’s game. His lower strikeout percentage compared to the league average could impact the number of strikeouts in the game.
Keep an eye on the Reds’ Will Benson, who has a high strikeout rate. Lineup adjustments, such as moving him down in the batting order, could influence the outcome of strikeouts in tonight’s game.
Projection: 14.9 strikeouts
Prop bet: Under 17.5 Strikeouts In The Match (-108) at Caesars
Sources: Props.cash, Covers.com, Fangraphs, Swish Analytics, EV analytics, TeamRankings.com
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