- Ja Morant props get the BTP treatment, as I’ll tell you how to play his points total of 19.5
- He and the Grizzlies are on the road versus the Dallas Mavericks— tip-off at 8:30 PM ET
- The Grizzlies are 5-point underdogs in a game with a 231.5-point total
Dare we kick off the week with a spicy Ja Morant prop? He appears fully healed from a severe ankle sprain which cost him two weeks of action, and I love his spot tonight against the Mavericks. I’m coming off a 9-0 day on Twitter, so let’s stay hot.
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Ja Morant Props (2/22)
Over 19.5 Points (-110 @ DraftKings)
Playable to 20.5.
After a nine-game stretch that saw the explosive guard fail to notch 20 points once, Morant’s put together three 20+ point performances over his last six outings. The former No. 2 overall pick has declared himself fully healthy after acknowledging he was lacking confidence on his previously injured ankle.
The reigning rookie of the year continues to find success scoring inside — more than two-thirds of his field goal attempts come within 10 feet of the basket.
Morant is shooting an impressive 65% at the rim and is at his best when he’s attacking downhill on opposing defenses and relying on his impressive repertoire of floaters.
Maverick Matchup
Morant will square off against a Mavericks team that has struggled defensively, ranking 27th in defensive efficiency and surrendering a league-worst 128.2 points per game to opponents over their last six games.
Dallas allows opponents to shoot a robust 57% on two-point attempts over their last three games, the third-highest percentage over that stretch.
Opposing guards have been having a field day against the Mavericks of late. Here are the point totals for opposing guards over their previous eight games:
- Damian Lillard: 34
- Trae Young: 25 & 21
- Chris Paul: 29 & 34
- Malik Beasley: 30
- Steph Curry: 57 & 28
Conclusion
I expect Morant to find plenty of success scoring inside against a Mavericks defense that has not defended the paint well.
In what the bookmakers are projecting to be the highest scoring game on tonight’s slate, I am banking on Morant scoring at least 23 points.