- We’ve got some free NBA props on tap, as I tell you how to play center James Wiseman and his 10.5 point total
- He and the Warriors are on the road versus the Detroit Pistons — tip-off at 7:10 PM ET.
- The Warriors are 3.5-point favorites in a game with a 222.5-point total
Wiseman turned heads to start the season, but after a season-low seven points versus the Chicago Bulls, his point total comes in a little too low. Let’s take a look at why the rookie’s total of 10.5 points could be a steal tonight versus the Detroit Pistons.
Bet the Prop is 9-6 to start the season, including this winner I brought you on opening day, so let’s stay hot.
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Free NBA Props for 12/29
Warriors Center James Wiseman
Over 10.5 Points (-126 @ FanDuel)
Would play up to 11 points.
The second-overall pick in this year’s draft started his career with two impressive scoring performances before cooling off versus Chicago. Wiseman opened the season with 18 and 19-point efforts versus Brooklyn and Milwaukee, arguably the top two teams in the Eastern Conference.
Through three games, he’s averaging 14.7 points while shooting .833 on three-pointers (5 of 6).
Viz courtesy pbpstats
He’s played a minimum of 23 minutes in each game, and tonight should be no different while matched up with the lowly Pistons. This point total is interesting because, after his seven-point outing versus the Bulls, you knew it was going to drop, but this is a tad bit too low.
Wiseman also had four personal fouls, which affected how he was used versus Chicago in a close game compared to four fouls versus Milwaukee in a blowout loss.
- Five centers/power forwards have scored 11 or more points versus Detroit this season, — JaVale McGee (11), Kevin Love (15), Andre Drummond (23),John Collins (15), and Karl-Anthony Towns (22)
- Wiseman ranks second among all rookies with 14.7 points per game
- Detroit allows the seventh-most points per game to centers (23.54) to start the season
A few models project Wiseman around a healthy 12.0-13.1 points per game, and although I expect Derrick Rose and, more importantly, Blake Griffin back, I’m not concerned with that impacting his point value. Wiseman has shown the ability to drain the three-ball, which we haven’t seen at Memphis. He’s shooting 15 of 32 (46.9%) from the field, including 9 of 14 free-throws (64.3%) to start the season.
Conclusion
Wiseman is a bright spot in an otherwise poor start to the season for the Warriors
Based on the model alone, this is a good play, but versus a Pistons defense that allows 122.3 points per game (27th), 48.0 points in the paint (16th), and opposing centers to make 1.1 three-pointers per game (18th), I love this play.
