The Raptors head to Charlotte to take on the Hornets tonight, and I’m going to tell you how to play Fred VanVleet’s assists prop for this Monday night matchup.
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Let’s jump into the numbers.
Fred VanVleet UNDER 8.5 Assists (-120 @ Bet365)
Line movement notes: Would play this number to -140; would play U7.5 in the +105 range for a half unit.
- Averaging 7.2 assists in 38.7 minutes
- Cleared this in just 14/46 for a strike rate of 30%, however, he’s been in good form recently, passing this mark in three of the past four
- But he’s getting an inflated line because of how horrific the Hornets are at giving up assists overall (second-worst in the league)
- However, they actually haven’t been too bad recently against PGs and are ranked 17th in the league on assists
- In the past five games, they’ve kept the likes of Lowry(6), Smart (6), Osman (1), Jackson (5), and Westbrook (5) all comfortably under this line, which is not a bad effort considering both Lowry and Russ average more dimes than FVV
It’s slated to be a close game and I can see either team winning, which is reflected in this line of -2. If the Hornets do manage to get up, FVV doesn’t exactly have a great record in their losses, clearing this in just 5/19 games (26%).