Bet the Prop
Image default
NFL NFL Player Props Subscription NFL

Best Rams Browns Props for SNF: Can You Rely on Nick Chubb’s Receiving Role?

Our look at the best Browns Rams props for Sunday Night Football hones in on the star power at running back, including a look at sophomore stud Nick Chubb.

The Rams come in as 4.5-point road favorites over a Browns team that has fallen short of lofty expectations early on in the season. Baker Mayfield has been brutal, with a 6.4 yards per attempt figure that ranks 25th among all QBs, sandwiched between Kirk Cousins and Derek Carr.

One way Cleveland can help out their QB against a team that might have the best trio of CBs in the league? Plenty of dump-offs to the explosive Chubb. That's where we begin our look at the best Rams Browns props for SNF.

We went 1-0 in this space last week thanks to Julio Jones, and we're off to a 1-0 start in Week 3 after a successful Thursday Night card.

Overall we’re having a huge year so far — subscriber picks are 30-16 (65%) on the season for an 11-unit profit. You can join us here!

Browns RB Nick Chubb

Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Unders are the clear lean when it comes to RB receiving props, but if you are going to bet them, you should at least do it when they're at home.

The bigger factor here is a line that doesn't seem to account for Chubb's expanded receiving role under Freddie Kitchens, who's fed the stud back 3.1 targets per game since taking over playcalling duties in Week 9 last year.

Chubb has caught 7-of-8 targets on the season so far for 46 total yards, giving him a 23-yard average that beats our line. It's actually frustrating that he hasn't been targeted a little more, as running mate D'Ernest Johnson has siphoned off six targets on the season so far.

Kitchens has been hinting throughout the week that he'd like to find a way to give Chubb even more touches, suggesting that he could stay on the field for more third downs going forward. It's unwise to invest too much in coach speak, but Chubb has seen sufficient targets regardless, so we'll treat any bump as a nice bonus.

The absence of TE David Njoku (wrist) will also free up a few more targets in the passing game as well.

The Rams have given up the 10th-most receiving yards to RBs in 2019 with 112, although they've faced two of the best in Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara.

With three excellent corners locking down the Cleveland WRs, getting Chubb more involved as a receiver is a gameplan that makes a ton of sense, especially as the underdog Browns rate to be playing from behind.

I wouldn't want to play a number much higher -- 22.5 is my max. And if the juice moves past -125 on this 20.5 line, you should consider pivoting to O2.5 receptions instead. 

Rams RB Malcolm Brown

Please subscribe to read the rest of this article!

Related posts