Our best Eagles Packers props for TNF zone in on two running backs and their evolving, early-season roles.
We begin with Miles Sanders, who was in the doghouse for a spell last week after a pair of fumbles but appears set to resume his normal duties in the Eagles' RB-by-committee.
Meanwhile, the landscape is quickly changing for Packers back Aaron Jones, and we'll tell you how to play that trend.
We're coming off an easy win on Monday Night Football (3-0 with subscriber leans) to go with our win the last time out on TNF.
Year to date, our prop picks for subscribers are hitting at 65.7% for a profit of more than 19 units. Join us today and get in on the fun!
???2019 YTD Props Recap ???
?@rotocort : 46-24 (65.7%)
+19.02 units (Avg juice -101)
?@JCProps17: 32-15 (68.1%)
+15.16 (-114 avg)
?JC's & @FF_SkiBall Picks: 35-16 (68.6%)
Let's just do 66% all year, shall we?
Join us! https://t.co/Q3EQbAZEYv pic.twitter.com/UWeVHkPNpS
— Bet the Prop (@bettheprop) September 24, 2019
Let's jump in with a look at the best Eagles Packers props for Thursday Night Football, and check out our favorite fantasy points prop for TNF here.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders
Over 17.5 Receiving Receiving Yards (-114)
The Packers pose substantial problems on defense, combining lockdown coverage on the outside with a perhaps the best pass rush in the league.
Pass-rusher Za'Darius Smith (3 sacks, 7 QB hits) is listed as questionable with a knee injury and may get limited snaps even if he does play. But Mike Pettine's unit is deep - 12th-overall selection LB Rashan Gary had a sack filling in for Smith on Sunday - and should continue to get to the QB regardless.
Carson Wentz won't be able to hold on to the ball long tonight, and that sets up well for a heavy dose of dump-offs.
Pettine's system leaves them vulnerable to RB production, particularly in the passing game. Green Bay ranks dead last in:
- RB targets against (33)
- RB receptions (26)
- Their 189 RB receiving yards against is third-worst
Green Bay has permitted five different backs to clear 15 receiving yards through three games -- Tarik Cohen (49 yards), Phillip Lindsay (49), Dalvin Cook (37), David Montgomery (27), and Mike Davis (17).
Which brings us to Sanders. The rookie's snap count has decreased in all three games (36, 35, & 26), yet he's remained a fixture in the passing game and now has more targets than Ezekiel Elliott and pass-catching specialist Duke Johnson.
Sanders was benched for the 3rd quarter of last week's game after fumbling twice but was back out in the 4th for key drives in their attempted comeback, and Eagles coaches have made no threats of curtailing his playing time.
I expect Sanders to be out there for 30-35 snaps commanding his usual four targets, which should be enough to hit 20 yards against this Packers defense.
I'd play this number to 18.5, and at 17.5, would pay the juice to -125.
Packers RB Aaron Jones
Please subscribe to read the rest of this article!