We’re firing on all cylinders for the final NFL prop-betting opportunity of the season.
For this final hurrah, we are throwing discretion to the wind and leaving nothing on the table.
Here we are, featuring every single player on the Rams and highlighting the best prop bet for each of them.
*Note: We do not recommend laying a sizable stake on all of these picks. Please use discretion to preserve your sanity and bankroll.*
Rams QB Jared Goff
Over 38.5 pass attempts (+105 @ 5Dimes)
- Goff has the following pass attempt totals in losses this year: 54, 45, 40
- The Patriots surrendered 49 total rushing yards in their first two playoff games. The Rams might have to abandon the run.
- The Rams rank top-5 in neutral pace and trailing pace
- The Patriots rank top-5 in neutral pace and leading pace
- With the Patriots as slight favorites and the teams’ pace of play, expect a combative game where the Rams won’t shy away from airing the ball out
Rams RB Todd Gurley
Over 3.5 receptions (-110 @ 5Dimes)
See our full writeup on why the over on Gurley receptions is a legitimately strong play this game.
Cort notes that he’d shy away from this line growing to 3.5 – I have no such fears.
Rams RB C.J. Anderson
Over 0.5 receptions (-115 @ 5Dimes)
- For reasons stated above, expect the Rams to air it out.
- The Patriots struggle to defend pass-catchers out of the backfield, so expect McVay to get his running backs involved in the passing game.
- Although Gurley is slotted to lead the way this game, still expect Anderson to slide on the field for at least a single catch, as he’s done for three of his four games as a Ram.
- We also covered why you should strongly consider the under on Anderson’s rushing total.
Rams WR Robert Woods
Under 6.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Woods averages 1.1 rushing attempts per game.
- Woods has cleared six rushing yards in eight of 18 games
- This is an appropriately valued prop – which is perfect because I don’t want to go near any of the juice on his receiving props.
- Woods’ receiving props are tricky to fire on because Goff’s volume is on the uptick, but history suggests Goff will be inefficient in this high-profile game away from home. Also, keying in on whether Patriots star cornerback Stephon Gillmore plans to lock down Woods or Cooks is a difficult task.
Rams WR Brandin Cooks
Under 70.5 Receiving Yards (-114 @ BetOnline)
- Cooks has beaten this mark just once in the Rams’ seven games since their Week 12 bye.
- Per Evan Silva, Goff has cleared 7.5 yards per attempt just twice since Week 12 (versus Arizona and San Francisco).
- Silva also notes that he expects the Patriots to double-team Cooks like they did two weekends ago when they shut down Tyreek Hill to the tune of just a single catch.
- Again, Goff’s efficiency will be a huge question mark that will likely determine the Super Bowl Champion and these prop bets.
Rams WR Josh Reynolds
Over 3.5 Receptions (+100 @ BetOnline)
- Targeting ancillary pass-catching pieces versus the Patriots has been a tell-tale strategy. Expect Reynolds to have the best matchup of all the Rams receivers this Sunday.
- Since Cooper Kupp’s Week 10 injury, Reynolds has averaged a sizable 6.5 targets per game.
- Reynolds surpassed the 3.5 reception mark in half of the eight games over this span.
- With high volume expectations for Goff, but tempered expectations for main pieces Woods and Cooks, Reynolds stands to benefit.
Rams TE Gerald Everett
Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-114 @ BetOnline)
- Everett has averaged 4.7 targets per game since Week 11 (excluding Week 17)
- He has cleared the 23.5 yardage mark in five of those seven games
- Oddsmakers are evidently weighing his zero catch Week 17 in their projections for Everett. This presents a prime opportunity to attack this line since Everett’s lack of involvement in Week 17 should be completely discounted
- The Patriots were near league average at defending tight ends this season, so the matchup has little impact on this wager
Rams TE Tyler Higbee
Under 2.5 Receptions (-140 @ BetOnline)
- His usage the last two games cannot be taken too seriously given his sporadic involvement this year.
- Higbee is second-fiddle to Everett in the passing game and beat the 2.5 receptions mark only three times this entire season.
Best of luck and have fun in this NFL betting finale!