The Baltimore Ravens are slim 1.5-point road favorites over the Saints, and we’re serving up 4 MNF Props trends for you to consider for tonight’s game.
The charts and data-research tools available in this piece will be available to the public soon. Stay tuned to this space!
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Devin Duvernay is the defacto No 1 receiving option for the Ravens tonight and should get plenty of opportunities to go over his Longest Receptions line of 19.5 yards for the seventh time in nine games.
It’s a good matchup for him as well — the Saints weakness is their pass defense, and in their eight games, they’ve allowed 13 different receivers to catch a pass for 19 yards or more.
Alvin Kamara has hit his receptions line of 4.5 67% of the time this year, but that doesn’t tell the whole story. His target share has had a healthy bump since check-down Charlie, aka Andy Dalton, took over at QB, and Kamra has at least 6 catches in every game with Dalton so far.
It’s too juiced to play at most shops but still playable at Caeser’s (-131).
🏈Alvin Kamara’s Over 4.5 Rec is too far gone at most shops, but still very playable at Caeser’s -131
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Kenyan Drake has 15 receiving yards in Week 1 but hasn’t hit tonight’s line of 12.5 since, with a median result of just 3 yards.
He’ll have the backfield almost all to himself tonight with Gus Edwards out, though, so there could be more opportunities. It’s also notable that despite tallying just 5 yards the last game out, he commanded a healthy 5 targets, so this line may be sharper than it appears at first glance.
The Saints have been a run-first team under Andy Dalton. Since taking over in Week 4, the New Orleans has posted a Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) of -8.98%, which is the sixth-lowest mark in the league over that stretch.
He’s also not much of a runner, which all adds up to make the under on this Passing+Rushing Yards line extremely tempting — Dalton’s only hit that once in his five starts with a median result of 229.