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NBA Player Props Tonight (1/28): Mason Plumlee Leaps the Lakers

  • Pistons forward/center Mason Plumlee goes under the spotlight as we tell you how to play his rebound total of 7.5 
  • He and the Pistons are at home versus the Los Angeles Lakers — tip-off at 8:00 PM ET
  • The Lakers are -6.5-point favorites in a game with a 216-point total

Our NBA player props tonight key on Mason Plumlee continuing his success on the boards versus the Lakers, who are without Anthony Davis.

Here’s why I’m backing Plumlee on the boards.

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Pistons Forward/Center Mason Plumlee

Over 7.5 Rebounds (+105 @ DraftKings)

Playable to 8.

This isn’t what you expected to read about today, and I’m not going to lie, I didn’t expect to write about Plumlee, but here we are!

The Pistons big man has quietly been stacking up rebounds, and tonight Plumlee faces a Lakers squad without Anthony Davis. LeBron James is likely to suit up; Montrezl Harrell too. Harrell had 15 minutes last game with zero points and one rebound. Plumlee, on the other hand, has been getting boards.

Over the last five games, Plumlee has recorded 9, 9, 5, 10, and 12 rebounds. He’s also had an increase in minutes in his last two, going from 19 and 21 to 28 and 28. Blake Griffin is expected back but does not impact this bet enough to make me back off it.

Here are all the players who have posted seven or more rebounds in the four games vs the Lakers:

  • Andre Drummond (17)
  • Giannis Antetokoumnpo (12)
  • Ben Simmons (11)
  • Zach LaVine (10)
  • Bobby Portis (8)
  • Patrick Williams (8)
  • Tobias Harris (7)
  • Lauri Markkanen (7)
  • Coby White (7)

That’s nine players in four games to collect at least seven boards.

Over their last six, the Lakers are also shooting 46.3%, 16th in the league, and the 22nd-most field goals made per game (39.8). With Davis out, there is a chance the Lakers’ numbers look similar tonight. 

Pistons Matchup

Davis has missed two games for the Lakers this season, versus Chicago and Minnesota. The rebounding battle was close in those two games, with LA losing 48-46 (MIN) and winning 42-41 (CHI). 

The Timberwolves were blown out, and no one player surpassed 30 minutes. Two players had seven rebounds, with eight grabbing four boards or more. Versus the Bulls, Patrick Williams had eight, and two more players recorded seven, all of them playing between 25 and 34 minutes.

  • Plumlee has gone Over seven rebounds in 13-of-18 games this season
  • Plumlee has played six games of 30 or more minutes, averaging 9.8 rebounds per game and going over in four-of-six
  • Plumlee averages 8.4 rebounds when he plays between 25 and 29 minutes this season

Plumlee has led the Pistons in rebounds 11-of-18 games and four of the last six. Versus the Lakers, and without Anthony Davis and the Pistons being a strong ATS team this year, I like their chances of hanging around and seeing the starters play regular minutes. 

Conclusion

This +105 on DraftKings should disappear quickly and pending any additional lineup news with LeBron, Blake Griffin, or Derrick Rose.

Minute restrictions could also be handed out to all three players if they suit up, but either way, Plumlee has excelled on the boards this season, hitting this number in 13 of 18 on the year. 

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